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April 6, 2010

How to Beat a Casino – How Derren Brown Cheated and Beat Roulette on Live TV

Derren Brown, often misspelled as Darren Brown, has a long history of amazing casino tricks. In his well-known Mind Control series he successfully demonstrated a simple means of counting cards and thereby turning the odds at Blackjack into the favour of the player. Casinos were incensed and his ban remains in place to this day.

I remember Derren well from parties at Bristol University, where as a fellow student, he used to amaze us with his feats of magic. Students were often reduced to tears of incredulity by seemingly simple acts for which there was no explanation. One time he stopped my friend Greg’s watch and wound it back to a number he chose, without getting anywhere close to it. While we were wide eyed in amazement Greg simply scowled and grumbled “You broke my watch”.

This latest series was announced as “some of his most incredible feats to date”, which was a pretty ambitious claim when you consider the scale of some of the previous tricks such as the Russian Roulette incident. This event, billed as the big finale, promised to unlock the secrets to beating the casino. But was it real, or simply an elaborate roulette scam? Do casino systems follow a similar scam, or can you genuinely beat the casino?

The answer of course is more complicated than that. All casino games, without exception, include a house edge, the small advantage that means over time the casino always wins. Roulette has one of the smaller edges, at 2.7% on single-zero, European tables. However the house edge can be turned by making small adjustments to the odds, as Derren Brown showed in his card counting method for Blackjack. Effective roulette systems work in a similar way, though many are simply leveraged double-up strategies that produce no long term returns. Mathematics-based systems like the Mayer Roulette System alter the odds in a small but significant way that allows players to slowly build up a large bank that can then be used to place very large bets, such as Derren Brown demonstrated for one lucky viewer.

So how did Derren’s system work? Derren Brown used an elaborate speed measurement device to predict the speed and angle of descent of the ball onto the roulette wheel. In the TV show, he was one out and loses the viewer his money. Of course in reality a system such as this is banned by law from being used in a casino.

To really beat the casino, Derren Brown’s TV show showed a neat trick, but only a mathematical and effective strategy will allow the house edge to be overcome and consistent winnings to be achieved.

About the Author
Alex Mayer is a gaming industry professional from London, England. With a masters in Mathematics she offers private consultancy and advice to casino operators. Alex is also the author of the Mayer Roulette Strategy (http://www.mayer-roulette-strategy.co.uk). Get it now, with 100% money-back guarantee.

Best Roulette System – Can a Free Roulette System Help You Avoid Roulette Scams?

Ever since time immemorial there have been those that are willing to work hard for what they want, and those that want to make a quick buck without putting in the hard grind. With casino games most players are aware of the house edge, the small casino advantage that pays for the glitzy tables and free drinks. Yet despite this small edge there are a plethora of roulette systems purporting to be the “worlds best roulette system” or the “secret roulette system that broke the bank”. How can you avoid being fleeced?

The first thing to understand is that the house edge depends purely on probability. In the same way that you can’t tell what the next flip of a coin will produce, no-one is able to foresee the next roll of the roulette ball. The fact that you threw a head last time doesn’t make it any more, or less, likely that you will do so again. The coin has no memory! In the same way, a roulette ball has no idea where it landed last time, and so has no plans on where it will settle on the next roll. Its an inanimate lump of shiny metal, nothing more. That said, probability dictates that, in the long run, the ball will fall equally on each of the numbers. It may take a very long time but in the end the more times the wheel spins, the closer to the statistical average you will become.

So that’s all well and good, but how does this apply to roulette systems scams? Quite simply, the vast majority of roulette systems rely on what is often called a “bet selection method”. That is to say they will examine the previous numbers and make a judgement about the next one. Some, like 1st and 3rd section betting, rely on the fact that the uneven bet provides a type of insurance, so that the failure of one win is compensated for by another with a lower relative probability. Many systems rely on monitoring the position that the roulette ball falls in and using that to select the next bet. These systems just do not work in the long run.

With so many common scams unveiled, which system can you use? Well, if you want to beat the house edge then the last thing to do is to purchase an expensive system that will just eat away at your bank. Instead use a reputable free roulette system based on progressive betting. Common variations include the Win Line system and Labouchere, both of which are easily available on a number of sites online, and the more reliable Mayer Roulette Strategy.

Play a free system and you can enjoy success at the table without burning a hole in your pocket. And if the worst comes to the worst at least you haven’t lost money buying a scam. Good luck.

Alex Mayer is a mathematician and gaming industry professional from London, England. With a masters in Mathematics she offers private consultancy and game design services to casino operators.

Access Alex’s free Best Roulette System (http://www.playhard.co.uk/best-roulette-system.php) which she developed to capture the most powerful elements of the myriad of systems available.

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